Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Hayton wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.3% vs Hischier 55.4% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 65.1%
Defensive zone
Hischier 61.2%
Neutral zone
Hischier 58.9%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Hayton
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Hayton
Hischier
Last 10: Hayton 5-5 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
4
Hayton
Hischier
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
1
Hayton
Hischier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Hischier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (647)
55.5% (1,172)
-3.1%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
64.5% (265)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
43.9% (164)
-7.1%
On power play, Hischier has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Hayton is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Hayton shoots left. Hischier is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,026).
Home / Away
Hayton
Hischier
Home
56.8% (433)
56.8% (791)
Away
47.4% (344)
54.8% (810)
By Period
Hayton
Hischier
P1
52.8%
56.0%
P2
50.3%
58.6%
P3
55.4%
53.5%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.5%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 00:32 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 07:51 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 05:14 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 02:48 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 18:39 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 18:20 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 17:19 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 11:21 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 07:50 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1 | 19:38 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1 | 16:23 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |