Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.3% vs Acciari 50.8% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 82.0%
Defensive zone
Acciari 81.3%
Neutral zone
Acciari 54.6%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Hayton
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Hayton
Acciari
Last 9: Hayton 3-6 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
3
0
Hayton
Acciari
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
5
Hayton
Acciari
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Hayton
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (647)
52.7% (313)
-0.3%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
33.3% (18)
+23.5%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
49.7% (195)
-12.9%
On power play, Hayton has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Hayton is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Hayton shoots left. Acciari is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Hayton
Acciari
Home
56.8% (433)
52.6% (291)
Away
47.4% (344)
48.9% (235)
By Period
Hayton
Acciari
P1
52.8%
53.7%
P2
50.3%
51.1%
P3
55.4%
48.5%
OT
25.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
59.5%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 17:40 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 11:19 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 01:24 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 05:54 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 16:09 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 19:11 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |