Barrett Hayton vs Pierre-Luc Dubois
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayton wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.3% vs Dubois 48.9% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 56.3%
Defensive zone
Dubois 54.0%
Neutral zone
Dubois 56.3%
Result
Pierre-Luc Dubois favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Hayton
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Hayton
Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
3
Hayton
Dubois
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Dubois
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (647)
44.8% (259)
+7.6%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
70.6% (34)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
75.0% (8)
-38.2%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +38.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Hayton is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Hayton shoots left. Dubois is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Home / Away
Hayton
Dubois
Home
56.8% (433)
46.6% (163)
Away
47.4% (344)
50.7% (138)
By Period
Hayton
Dubois
P1
52.8%
44.0%
P2
50.3%
51.5%
P3
55.4%
49.5%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Dubois
40.0%▼
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:11 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 18:39 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 12:31 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 05:43 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |