Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Donato 44.7% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 57.4%
Defensive zone
Hayton 86.7%
Neutral zone
Hayton 81.8%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Hayton
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Hayton
Donato
Last 10: Hayton 7-3 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Donato
3
4
Hayton
Donato
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Donato
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
4
0
Hayton
Donato
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,480)
44.0% (1,218)
+6.8%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
46.0% (248)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
41.7% (12)
+3.5%
On power play, Hayton has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Hayton is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,800).
Hayton shoots left. Donato is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (909).
Home / Away
Hayton
Donato
Home
52.8% (2,269)
47.2% (743)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
41.4% (735)
By Period
Hayton
Donato
P1
52.0%
43.8%
P2
51.4%
44.9%
P3
49.9%
43.7%
OT
58.1%
70.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 09:01 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 07:10 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:27 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 7, 2025 | OT | 01:08 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:47 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 12:47 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 18:01 | Defensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 1 | 12:45 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 02:33 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |