Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Hartman 45.4% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Hayton leads 17-14 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayton 60.1%
Defensive zone
Hayton 68.1%
Neutral zone
Hayton 66.9%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Hayton
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
14
(31 meetings)
17
14
Hayton
Hartman
Last 10: Hayton 4-6 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Hayton
Hartman
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
9
2
Hayton
Hartman
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
3
7
Hayton
Hartman
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,480)
45.2% (4,279)
+5.6%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
47.3% (446)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
42.4% (262)
+2.8%
On power play, Hayton has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Hayton is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,648).
Hayton shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,596).
Home / Away
Hayton
Hartman
Home
52.8% (2,269)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
43.7% (2,398)
By Period
Hayton
Hartman
P1
52.0%
46.1%
P2
51.4%
42.9%
P3
49.9%
46.7%
OT
58.1%
53.8%
Final 5 min
51.6%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 19:35 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 01:48 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 15:43 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 19:45 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 19:35 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 02:58 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 12:11 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 08:34 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 08:20 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 02:57 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 18:43 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 03:51 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 16:13 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 13:26 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 03:53 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 3 | 19:15 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 3 | 18:13 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 14, 2024 | 3 | 18:05 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 02:56 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |