Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayton on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Hayton wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.3% vs McLeod 47.4% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 51.9%
Defensive zone
McLeod 69.8%
Neutral zone
McLeod 56.1%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Hayton
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Hayton
McLeod
Last 9: Hayton 4-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
4
2
Hayton
McLeod
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Hayton
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Hayton
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (647)
49.0% (827)
+3.4%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
44.0% (91)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
43.0% (272)
-6.2%
On power play, Hayton has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Hayton is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Hayton shoots left. McLeod is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Home / Away
Hayton
McLeod
Home
56.8% (433)
48.5% (619)
Away
47.4% (344)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Hayton
McLeod
P1
52.8%
52.7%
P2
50.3%
43.9%
P3
55.4%
45.8%
OT
25.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
59.5%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2025 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 17:43 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 10:02 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:31 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:10 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 08:32 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:07 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |