Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayton wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.3% vs Couturier 53.6% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 73.0%
Defensive zone
Couturier 54.8%
Neutral zone
Hayton 62.2%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Hayton
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Hayton
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Hayton
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (647)
53.9% (792)
-1.5%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
62.9% (70)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
51.3% (234)
-14.5%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Hayton is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Hayton shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Hayton
Couturier
Home
56.8% (433)
51.4% (541)
Away
47.4% (344)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Hayton
Couturier
P1
52.8%
56.0%
P2
50.3%
52.6%
P3
55.4%
54.3%
OT
25.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
59.5%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 01:30 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 02:22 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 10:28 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 01:39 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |