Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 52.7%). Look for Hayton on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayton wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.3% vs Monahan 52.5% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 51.1%
Defensive zone
Hayton 51.3%
Neutral zone
Monahan 50.7%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Hayton
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Hayton
Monahan
Last 6: Hayton 4-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayton
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
2
1
Hayton
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (647)
53.0% (874)
-0.6%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
54.7% (161)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
47.5% (101)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Hayton is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Hayton shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Hayton
Monahan
Home
56.8% (433)
53.8% (558)
Away
47.4% (344)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Hayton
Monahan
P1
52.8%
49.5%
P2
50.3%
54.8%
P3
55.4%
52.8%
OT
25.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
59.5%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 17:34 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 14:27 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 04:25 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 10:54 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 08:52 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 19:10 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |