Barrett Hayton vs Steven Stamkos
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 51.1%). Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 51.1% vs Stamkos 51.1% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 56.6%
Defensive zone
Hayton 61.8%
Neutral zone
Hayton 58.5%
Result
Barrett Hayton favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Hayton
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
12
(22 meetings)
10
12
Hayton
Stamkos
Last 10: Hayton 5-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
6
Hayton
Stamkos
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
6
4
Hayton
Stamkos
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hayton
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (3,480)
50.5% (9,825)
+0.3%
Power Play
56.7% (594)
55.2% (1,729)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (374)
49.6% (827)
-4.4%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Hayton is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,648).
Hayton shoots left. Stamkos is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,806).
Home / Away
Hayton
Stamkos
Home
52.8% (2,269)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
49.4% (2,179)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Hayton
Stamkos
P1
52.0%
49.2%
P2
51.4%
52.7%
P3
49.9%
50.9%
OT
58.1%
54.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.1%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 00:14 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:06 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 18:33 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 18:20 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:11 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 08:30 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 2 | 00:55 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 01:49 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 1 | 00:50 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 3 | 02:50 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 15:32 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 13:04 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 3 | 02:17 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 28, 2021 | 2 | 04:02 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 08:12 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 07:45 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |