Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hayton wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.3% vs Blueger 48.1% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 67.3%
Defensive zone
Blueger 69.8%
Neutral zone
Blueger 57.8%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Hayton
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hayton
Blueger
Last 5: Hayton 2-3 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Blueger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
1
3
Hayton
Blueger
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (647)
49.4% (265)
+3.0%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
66.7% (9)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
34.0% (50)
+2.8%
On power play, Blueger has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Hayton is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Hayton shoots left. Blueger is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Hayton
Blueger
Home
56.8% (433)
49.8% (215)
Away
47.4% (344)
43.1% (109)
By Period
Hayton
Blueger
P1
52.8%
46.4%
P2
50.3%
50.4%
P3
55.4%
44.8%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
59.5%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 10:41 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 08:29 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |