Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 53.0%). Look for Stützle on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hayton wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 52.3% vs Stützle 52.6% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 60.1%
Defensive zone
Hayton 73.4%
Neutral zone
Hayton 55.5%
Result
Tim Stützle favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Hayton
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hayton
Stützle
Last 5: Hayton 1-4 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
3
Hayton
Stützle
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Stützle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stützle
0
1
Hayton
Stützle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (647)
52.7% (501)
-0.3%
Power Play
56.8% (111)
54.2% (59)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
56.3% (32)
-19.5%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Hayton is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Hayton shoots left. Stützle is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (364).
Home / Away
Hayton
Stützle
Home
56.8% (433)
51.9% (285)
Away
47.4% (344)
54.1% (307)
By Period
Hayton
Stützle
P1
52.8%
51.6%
P2
50.3%
55.4%
P3
55.4%
52.2%
OT
25.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
59.5%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.6%
Stützle
50.0%▬
49.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 03:47 | Defensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 03:44 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 14:04 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 00:52 | Offensive | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 15:50 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |