Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 51.6% vs Toews 57.9% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 67.8%
Defensive zone
Jones 81.1%
Neutral zone
Jones 63.5%
Result
Ben Jones favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Jones
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Jones
Toews
Last 5: Jones 2-3 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jones
Toews
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jones
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Jones
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (143)
57.2% (13,079)
-5.5%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
63.3% (3,254)
+36.7%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
53.6% (1,810)
+3.5%
On power play, Jones has a +36.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Jones is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Jones shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,675).
Home / Away
Jones
Toews
Home
51.8% (83)
59.7% (9,212)
Away
53.6% (69)
56.1% (8,962)
By Period
Jones
Toews
P1
51.0%
58.6%
P2
53.5%
57.9%
P3
53.4%
57.3%
Final 5 min
59.5%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
46.0%▼
52.6%
52.6%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 19:26 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 12:13 | Offensive | Ben Jones |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 11:56 | Defensive | Ben Jones |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 19:55 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 03:07 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |