Scouting Report
Fraser Minten holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kindel on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kindel wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Minten shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 44.5% vs Minten 48.3% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 69.8%
Defensive zone
Minten 79.2%
Neutral zone
Minten 77.8%
Result
Fraser Minten favored at 73.0%
27.0%
73.0%
Kindel
Minten
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kindel
Minten
Last 5: Kindel 4-1 Minten
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kindel
2
1
Kindel
Minten
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kindel
2
0
Kindel
Minten
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Minten
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (530)
48.9% (841)
-6.3%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
47.5% (61)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
36.7% (49)
+10.7%
On penalty kill, Kindel has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Minten shoots left. Kindel is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Kindel shoots right. Minten is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Kindel
Minten
Home
45.0% (291)
51.9% (476)
Away
42.1% (297)
44.4% (475)
By Period
Kindel
Minten
P1
40.2%
44.4%
P2
45.1%
46.8%
P3
41.5%
52.3%
OT
92.9%
83.3%
Final 5 min
38.2%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.5%
Minten
52.0%▲
50.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 14:44 | Neutral | Ben Kindel |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 10:21 | Neutral | Ben Kindel |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 06:34 | Offensive | Ben Kindel |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 04:25 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | Ben Kindel |