Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Kindel wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 44.5% vs Tavares 54.4% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 68.0%
Defensive zone
Kindel 76.7%
Neutral zone
Kindel 76.2%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 74.7%
74.7%
25.3%
Kindel
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kindel
Tavares
Last 5: Kindel 1-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kindel
1
0
Kindel
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Kindel
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Kindel
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (530)
54.0% (16,169)
-11.4%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
56.4% (4,298)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
50.5% (624)
-3.1%
On even strength, Tavares has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Kindel is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Kindel shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,570).
Home / Away
Kindel
Tavares
Home
45.0% (291)
56.1% (10,525)
Away
42.1% (297)
52.7% (10,595)
By Period
Kindel
Tavares
P1
40.2%
55.0%
P2
45.1%
54.1%
P3
41.5%
54.0%
OT
92.9%
55.9%
Final 5 min
38.2%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.5%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 09:41 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 13:13 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Ben Kindel |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 03:31 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 04:06 | Defensive | John Tavares |