Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kindel wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 44.5% vs Staal 55.3% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 87.7%
Defensive zone
Kindel 88.6%
Neutral zone
Kindel 90.4%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 88.4%
88.4%
11.6%
Kindel
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Kindel
Staal
Last 5: Kindel 0-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Kindel
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Kindel
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Kindel
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (530)
55.9% (14,654)
-13.3%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
62.7% (1,762)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
47.9% (2,907)
-0.5%
On even strength, Staal has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Kindel is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Kindel shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,583).
Home / Away
Kindel
Staal
Home
45.0% (291)
56.4% (9,699)
Away
42.1% (297)
54.3% (9,689)
By Period
Kindel
Staal
P1
40.2%
55.2%
P2
45.1%
55.9%
P3
41.5%
54.8%
OT
92.9%
56.2%
Final 5 min
38.2%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.5%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 15:29 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 16:20 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 17:19 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |