Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kindel wins 40.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 44.9% vs Stenlund 53.9% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 90.4%
Defensive zone
Kindel 56.2%
Neutral zone
Kindel 78.0%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Kindel
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kindel
Stenlund
Last 5: Kindel 1-4 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
2
Kindel
Stenlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
2
Kindel
Stenlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (518)
55.3% (2,738)
-12.2%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
52.6% (116)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
50.4% (924)
-0.4%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Kindel is 40.4% vs right-shot opponents (188).
Kindel shoots right. Stenlund is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (932).
Home / Away
Kindel
Stenlund
Home
45.0% (291)
54.3% (1,873)
Away
43.0% (284)
53.8% (1,905)
By Period
Kindel
Stenlund
P1
40.6%
56.2%
P2
46.1%
53.3%
P3
41.5%
53.0%
OT
92.9%
52.9%
Final 5 min
38.3%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
38.0%▬
37.0%
44.0%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 14, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ben Kindel |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 11:21 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 05:40 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 17:52 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |