Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kindel wins 40.5% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 44.5% vs Dowd 50.7% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 91.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 86.5%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.7%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Kindel
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kindel
Dowd
Last 6: Kindel 3-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kindel
2
0
Kindel
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Kindel
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
2
Kindel
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (530)
52.3% (6,036)
-9.7%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
56.1% (164)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
44.1% (1,638)
+3.3%
On even strength, Dowd has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Kindel is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (190).
Kindel shoots right. Dowd is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,681).
Home / Away
Kindel
Dowd
Home
45.0% (291)
51.9% (3,917)
Away
42.1% (297)
49.5% (3,922)
By Period
Kindel
Dowd
P1
40.2%
51.5%
P2
45.1%
50.4%
P3
41.5%
50.3%
OT
92.9%
45.9%
Final 5 min
38.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.5%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 09:07 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 07:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 16:22 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Ben Kindel |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 13:07 | Offensive | Ben Kindel |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 09:20 | Neutral | Ben Kindel |