Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kindel on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kindel wins 40.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 44.5% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 63.3%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 80.2%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 71.7%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 74.5%
25.5%
74.5%
Kindel
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kindel
Bjugstad
Last 6: Kindel 4-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kindel
1
0
Kindel
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kindel
3
0
Kindel
Bjugstad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Kindel
Bjugstad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (530)
48.6% (6,646)
-6.0%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
55.2% (829)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
44.3% (614)
+3.1%
On even strength, Bjugstad has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Kindel is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (190).
Kindel shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,334).
Home / Away
Kindel
Bjugstad
Home
45.0% (291)
49.8% (4,023)
Away
42.1% (297)
48.1% (4,066)
By Period
Kindel
Bjugstad
P1
40.2%
48.9%
P2
45.1%
49.1%
P3
41.5%
48.5%
OT
92.9%
61.3%
Final 5 min
38.2%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.5%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 03:44 | Defensive | Ben Kindel |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 01:49 | Offensive | Ben Kindel |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 16:59 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 15:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 06:55 | Defensive | Ben Kindel |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 06:47 | Defensive | Ben Kindel |