Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.5% vs 43.0%). Look for Cates on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kindel wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 44.5% vs Cates 43.2% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 60.7%
Defensive zone
Cates 58.3%
Neutral zone
Cates 53.8%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Kindel
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Kindel
Cates
Last 9: Kindel 2-7 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Kindel
Cates
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
1
4
Kindel
Cates
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
1
2
Kindel
Cates
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (530)
44.1% (2,786)
-1.5%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
42.9% (254)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
34.9% (373)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Kindel has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Kindel is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Kindel shoots right. Cates is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
Home / Away
Kindel
Cates
Home
45.0% (291)
43.9% (1,708)
Away
42.1% (297)
42.2% (1,705)
By Period
Kindel
Cates
P1
40.2%
44.5%
P2
45.1%
43.7%
P3
41.5%
41.2%
OT
92.9%
29.4%
Final 5 min
38.2%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.5%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 11:51 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 08:40 | Neutral | Ben Kindel |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 02:40 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 09:40 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 04:00 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 03:47 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 15:52 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 09:57 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 1 | 06:59 | Defensive | Ben Kindel |