Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 47.7%). Look for Kindel on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kindel wins 41.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 48.2% vs Kapanen 48.0% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 57.3%
Defensive zone
Kindel 56.0%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 54.6%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Kindel
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kindel
Kapanen
Last 5: Kindel 2-3 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kindel
2
1
Kindel
Kapanen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
0
1
Kindel
Kapanen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kapanen
0
1
Kindel
Kapanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (345)
48.1% (495)
-1.7%
Power Play
66.7% (21)
50.0% (48)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
37.5% (32)
+17.0%
On penalty kill, Kindel has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Kindel is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Kindel shoots right. Kapanen is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Kindel
Kapanen
Home
48.4% (190)
47.2% (299)
Away
47.1% (187)
48.2% (276)
By Period
Kindel
Kapanen
P1
40.7%
42.0%
P2
48.8%
51.4%
P3
49.6%
49.2%
OT
90.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
50.0%▬
49.5%
47.7%
Kapanen
58.0%▲
47.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 16:38 | Offensive | Ben Kindel |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:42 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:44 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Ben Kindel |