Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kindel wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 44.5% vs Monahan 52.5% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 77.9%
Defensive zone
Kindel 80.2%
Neutral zone
Kindel 80.3%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 80.3%
80.3%
19.7%
Kindel
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Kindel
Monahan
Last 8: Kindel 1-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Kindel
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
4
Kindel
Monahan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (530)
53.0% (874)
-10.4%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
54.7% (161)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
47.5% (101)
-0.1%
On even strength, Monahan has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Kindel is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Kindel shoots right. Monahan is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Kindel
Monahan
Home
45.0% (291)
53.8% (558)
Away
42.1% (297)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Kindel
Monahan
P1
40.2%
49.5%
P2
45.1%
54.8%
P3
41.5%
52.8%
OT
92.9%
61.9%
Final 5 min
38.2%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.5%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 07:48 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 07:32 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 04:57 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 06:50 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 06:49 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:27 | Neutral | Ben Kindel |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 11:10 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |