Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kindel wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 44.5% vs Monahan 51.2% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 85.0%
Defensive zone
Kindel 83.3%
Neutral zone
Kindel 82.0%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 82.5%
82.5%
17.5%
Kindel
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Kindel
Monahan
Last 8: Kindel 1-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Kindel
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
4
Kindel
Monahan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (530)
51.1% (11,407)
-8.5%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
53.6% (2,582)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
45.9% (772)
+1.5%
On even strength, Monahan has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Kindel is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Kindel shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Home / Away
Kindel
Monahan
Home
45.0% (291)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
42.1% (297)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Kindel
Monahan
P1
40.2%
51.0%
P2
45.1%
51.7%
P3
41.5%
51.0%
OT
92.9%
53.5%
Final 5 min
38.2%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.5%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 07:48 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 07:32 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 04:57 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 06:50 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 06:49 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:27 | Neutral | Ben Kindel |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 11:10 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |