Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Kindel wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kindel 44.9% vs Hertl 54.3% (-10.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kindel 86.5%
Defensive zone
Kindel 85.3%
Neutral zone
Kindel 85.7%
Result
Ben Kindel favored at 86.3%
86.3%
13.7%
Kindel
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
9
(9 meetings)
0
9
Kindel
Hertl
Last 9: Kindel 0-9 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
7
Kindel
Hertl
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Kindel
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Kindel
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kindel
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (518)
53.9% (8,290)
-10.8%
Power Play
53.8% (39)
59.3% (1,991)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
46.3% (806)
+3.7%
On even strength, Hertl has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Kindel is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Kindel shoots right. Hertl is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,142).
Home / Away
Kindel
Hertl
Home
45.0% (291)
55.8% (5,365)
Away
43.0% (284)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Kindel
Hertl
P1
40.6%
53.6%
P2
46.1%
54.1%
P3
41.5%
55.3%
OT
92.9%
46.9%
Final 5 min
38.3%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kindel
38.0%▬
37.0%
44.0%
Hertl
64.0%▲
60.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 11:18 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 07:18 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 18:18 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 18:06 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 09:49 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 09:34 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |