Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Kuraly 50.4% (+1.5%)
Offensive zone
Smith 64.3%
Defensive zone
Smith 55.9%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 51.3%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Smith
Kuraly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
51.6% (5,161)
+2.1%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
56.4% (101)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
44.4% (1,091)
+1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Smith is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Smith shoots right. Kuraly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,235).
Home / Away
Smith
Kuraly
Home
53.8% (860)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
49.8% (805)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Smith
Kuraly
P1
52.1%
51.2%
P2
50.2%
50.0%
P3
53.3%
50.2%
OT
62.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
53.0%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%