Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Kuraly 50.3% (+1.6%)
Offensive zone
Smith 63.7%
Defensive zone
Smith 55.9%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 50.8%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Smith
Kuraly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
51.5% (5,067)
+2.2%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
56.0% (100)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
44.0% (1,063)
+1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Smith is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Smith shoots right. Kuraly is 45.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,194).
Home / Away
Smith
Kuraly
Home
53.8% (860)
51.7% (3,152)
Away
49.8% (805)
48.7% (3,079)
By Period
Smith
Kuraly
P1
52.1%
50.8%
P2
50.2%
50.0%
P3
53.3%
49.9%
OT
62.5%
54.8%
Final 5 min
53.0%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
50.3%