Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.9% vs 51.2%). Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.8% vs Monahan 51.2% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 85.3%
Defensive zone
Smith 84.5%
Neutral zone
Smith 51.6%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Smith
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
Smith
Monahan
Last 10: Smith 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
7
Smith
Monahan
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
7
1
Smith
Monahan
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Smith
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (1,269)
51.1% (11,407)
+2.6%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
53.6% (2,582)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (369)
45.9% (772)
-0.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Smith is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Smith shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Home / Away
Smith
Monahan
Home
53.8% (860)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
49.8% (805)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Smith
Monahan
P1
52.1%
51.0%
P2
50.2%
51.7%
P3
53.3%
51.0%
OT
62.5%
53.5%
Final 5 min
53.0%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.9%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2016 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 30, 2016 | 2 | 08:04 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 21, 2016 | 2 | 05:08 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 21, 2016 | 2 | 03:17 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 14, 2014 | 2 | 11:59 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Dec 14, 2014 | 1 | 07:58 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 3 | 16:28 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 13:28 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 20, 2014 | 1 | 04:55 | Offensive | Ben Smith |
| Oct 15, 2014 | 3 | 19:59 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 2 | 16:43 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 1 | 18:03 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 1 | 15:59 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 1 | 10:01 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 3, 2013 | 3 | 05:41 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 3, 2013 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 3, 2013 | 2 | 04:06 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |