Scouting Report
Eric Belanger holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Belanger on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jones wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Belanger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 47.3% vs Belanger 54.9% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jones 65.8%
Defensive zone
Belanger 53.3%
Neutral zone
Jones 60.3%
Result
Blair Jones favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Jones
Belanger
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Jones
Belanger
Last 8: Jones 3-5 Belanger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jones
1
0
Jones
Belanger
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
0
3
Jones
Belanger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Jones
Belanger
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Belanger
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (494)
57.1% (2,043)
-8.5%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
57.8% (166)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (62)
44.9% (459)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Belanger has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Belanger shoots left. Jones is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Jones shoots right. Belanger is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Jones
Belanger
Home
48.9% (272)
56.3% (1,350)
Away
45.0% (311)
53.8% (1,332)
By Period
Jones
Belanger
P1
47.1%
53.5%
P2
49.7%
55.4%
P3
44.8%
56.2%
OT
25.0%
53.1%
Final 5 min
43.7%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2013 | 2 | 09:33 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 2 | 09:21 | Neutral | Blair Jones |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 2 | 02:41 | Offensive | Blair Jones |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 05:16 | Neutral | Blair Jones |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 02:10 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 04:24 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 06:51 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 2 | 06:14 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |