Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 46.6%). Jones wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 47.3% vs McBain 46.7% (+0.2%)
Offensive zone
Jones 51.9%
Defensive zone
McBain 58.1%
Neutral zone
Jones 53.5%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Jones
McBain
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (494)
48.1% (2,322)
+0.5%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
44.6% (56)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (62)
35.6% (309)
-3.3%
On power play, Jones has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Jones is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Jones shoots right. McBain is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (995).
Home / Away
Jones
McBain
Home
48.9% (272)
49.1% (1,379)
Away
45.0% (311)
44.0% (1,308)
By Period
Jones
McBain
P1
47.1%
47.1%
P2
49.7%
47.4%
P3
44.8%
45.4%
OT
25.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
43.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%