Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 46.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 47.3% vs Kapanen 46.8% (+0.5%)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 61.2%
Defensive zone
Jones 58.8%
Neutral zone
Jones 53.5%
Result
Blair Jones favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Jones
Kapanen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (494)
46.3% (572)
+2.3%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
50.9% (53)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (62)
39.5% (38)
-7.2%
On penalty kill, Kapanen has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Jones is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Jones shoots right. Kapanen is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (170).
Home / Away
Jones
Kapanen
Home
48.9% (272)
46.3% (348)
Away
45.0% (311)
46.3% (315)
By Period
Jones
Kapanen
P1
47.1%
41.7%
P2
49.7%
49.6%
P3
44.8%
47.5%
OT
25.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
43.7%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Kapanen
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.3%