Scouting Report
Blair Jones holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Jones wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Elias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 47.3% vs Elias 42.7% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 64.3%
Defensive zone
Elias 58.0%
Neutral zone
Elias 55.2%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Jones
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Jones
Elias
Last 5: Jones 2-3 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
0
2
Jones
Elias
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jones
2
0
Jones
Elias
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Elias
0
1
Jones
Elias
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (494)
42.3% (2,591)
+6.3%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
48.4% (405)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
32.3% (62)
36.0% (367)
-3.7%
On even strength, Jones has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. Jones is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (415).
Jones shoots right. Elias is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
Jones
Elias
Home
48.9% (272)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
45.0% (311)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
Jones
Elias
P1
47.1%
41.1%
P2
49.7%
43.1%
P3
44.8%
43.0%
OT
25.0%
43.2%
Final 5 min
43.7%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Blair Jones |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 3 | 06:37 | Defensive | Blair Jones |
| Jan 10, 2012 | 1 | 14:53 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 12, 2011 | 2 | 04:43 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |