Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 49.3% vs Pavelski 53.0% (-5.8%)
Offensive zone
Coleman 57.0%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 67.5%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 55.6%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Coleman
Pavelski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (40)
52.3% (560)
-4.8%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
57.5% (113)
-7.5%
On power play, Pavelski has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Coleman is 38.5% vs right-shot opponents (13).
Coleman shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Coleman
Pavelski
Home
39.1% (23)
54.2% (360)
Away
57.9% (19)
52.6% (329)
By Period
Coleman
Pavelski
P1
47.1%
54.5%
P2
58.8%
56.7%
P3
25.0%
50.8%
Final 5 min
54.5%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
36.0%▼
45.5%
47.6%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%