Scouting Report
Mavrik Bourque holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 47.3% vs Bourque 46.5% (-6.1%)
Offensive zone
Bourque 52.5%
Defensive zone
Coleman 50.1%
Neutral zone
Bourque 55.1%
Result
Mavrik Bourque favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Coleman
Bourque
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Bourque
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (21)
46.8% (186)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
42.9% (7)
+7.1%
On even strength, Bourque has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bourque shoots right. Coleman is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (11).
Coleman shoots left. Bourque is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Coleman
Bourque
Home
46.2% (13)
41.5% (106)
Away
33.3% (18)
48.1% (104)
By Period
Coleman
Bourque
P1
42.9%
40.6%
P2
40.0%
39.0%
P3
28.6%
51.7%
Final 5 min
55.6%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
30.0%▼
45.0%
38.7%
Bourque
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.8%