Blake Coleman vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 47.3% vs MacKinnon 51.0% (-12.4%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 73.5%
Defensive zone
Coleman 63.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 54.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Coleman
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (21)
49.7% (1,038)
-16.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
34.4% (32)
+15.6%
On even strength, MacKinnon has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Coleman is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (11).
Coleman shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (886).
Home / Away
Coleman
MacKinnon
Home
46.2% (13)
53.1% (618)
Away
33.3% (18)
49.1% (609)
By Period
Coleman
MacKinnon
P1
42.9%
49.3%
P2
40.0%
53.0%
P3
28.6%
50.7%
Final 5 min
55.6%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
30.0%▼
45.0%
38.7%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.1%