Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 47.3% vs Dowd 48.6% (-9.8%)
Offensive zone
Coleman 71.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 79.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 55.3%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Coleman
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (21)
51.0% (671)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
41.5% (224)
+8.5%
On even strength, Dowd has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Coleman is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (11).
Coleman shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Coleman
Dowd
Home
46.2% (13)
48.2% (471)
Away
33.3% (18)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Coleman
Dowd
P1
42.9%
48.3%
P2
40.0%
46.8%
P3
28.6%
51.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
30.0%▼
45.0%
38.7%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%