Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Coleman wins 35.0% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 47.3% vs Cates 45.5% (-6.3%)
Offensive zone
Cates 61.2%
Defensive zone
Coleman 50.8%
Neutral zone
Cates 55.9%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
Coleman
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (21)
45.5% (756)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
44.7% (47)
+5.3%
On even strength, Cates has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Coleman is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Coleman shoots left. Cates is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Home / Away
Coleman
Cates
Home
46.2% (13)
46.2% (468)
Away
33.3% (18)
43.9% (449)
By Period
Coleman
Cates
P1
42.9%
46.0%
P2
40.0%
47.5%
P3
28.6%
42.1%
Final 5 min
55.6%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
30.0%▼
45.0%
38.7%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
45.0%