Scouting Report
Blake Coleman holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Coleman wins 35.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 47.3% vs Kelly 41.4% (+2.3%)
Offensive zone
Kelly 54.2%
Defensive zone
Kelly 51.9%
Neutral zone
Kelly 55.8%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Coleman
Kelly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (21)
36.5% (159)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
38.5% (13)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, Coleman has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Coleman is 35.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Coleman shoots left. Kelly is 37.3% vs left-shot opponents (110).
Home / Away
Coleman
Kelly
Home
46.2% (13)
35.4% (79)
Away
33.3% (18)
37.2% (94)
By Period
Coleman
Kelly
P1
42.9%
33.8%
P2
40.0%
36.5%
P3
28.6%
39.6%
Final 5 min
55.6%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
30.0%▼
45.0%
38.7%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
36.4%