Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Coleman wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coleman 43.4% vs Gagner 46.0% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Gagner leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 73.4%
Defensive zone
Coleman 72.0%
Neutral zone
Coleman 55.6%
Result
Blake Coleman favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Coleman
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Coleman
Gagner
Last 10: Coleman 5-5 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
3
Coleman
Gagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coleman
4
2
Coleman
Gagner
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coleman
1
0
Coleman
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coleman
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (1,058)
45.4% (4,699)
+0.0%
Power Play
34.1% (41)
51.5% (928)
-17.4%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (320)
35.0% (226)
+0.9%
On power play, Gagner has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Coleman is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Coleman shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Coleman
Gagner
Home
44.6% (662)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
41.5% (757)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Coleman
Gagner
P1
42.6%
44.6%
P2
44.7%
46.1%
P3
41.7%
47.3%
OT
0.0%
42.0%
Final 5 min
42.4%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coleman
36.0%▼
45.5%
42.9%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2017 | 3 | 12:59 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 2 | 14:31 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 7, 2017 | 1 | 10:28 | Neutral | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Blake Coleman |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 08:11 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 04:49 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 1 | 08:36 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |