Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Comeau wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Comeau 44.6% vs Aho 51.3% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Comeau 55.3%
Defensive zone
Comeau 83.7%
Neutral zone
Comeau 68.4%
Result
Blake Comeau favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Comeau
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Comeau
Aho
Last 6: Comeau 2-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
2
Comeau
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Comeau
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Comeau
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Comeau
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (1,082)
50.2% (6,646)
-5.0%
Power Play
57.4% (129)
58.9% (1,310)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (449)
46.5% (465)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Comeau is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Comeau shoots right. Aho is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,104).
Home / Away
Comeau
Aho
Home
47.8% (894)
52.4% (4,325)
Away
40.2% (768)
50.1% (4,096)
By Period
Comeau
Aho
P1
45.0%
51.1%
P2
44.0%
52.1%
P3
44.3%
50.8%
OT
28.6%
48.9%
Final 5 min
45.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Comeau
56.0%▲
47.0%
44.3%
Aho
60.0%▲
50.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Blake Comeau |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 07:25 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 13, 2021 | OT | 03:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 2 | 00:34 | Neutral | Blake Comeau |
| Feb 13, 2021 | 1 | 11:30 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 11, 2020 | 1 | 06:17 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |