Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Horvat 56.1% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 81.2%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 84.9%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 61.7%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Lizotte
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lizotte
Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
1
Lizotte
Horvat
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
1
Lizotte
Horvat
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Horvat
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
55.7% (731)
-2.8%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
63.4% (243)
-38.4%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
48.6% (107)
-5.5%
On power play, Horvat has a +38.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Lizotte is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Lizotte shoots left. Horvat is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Horvat
Home
44.2% (242)
59.4% (537)
Away
56.0% (234)
54.0% (544)
By Period
Lizotte
Horvat
P1
49.6%
59.9%
P2
46.9%
54.5%
P3
52.6%
56.1%
OT
100.0%
55.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 12:18 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 07:54 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |