Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.8% vs Horvat 55.9% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 84.7%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 76.8%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 53.0%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Lizotte
Horvat
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lizotte
Horvat
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
1
Lizotte
Horvat
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
0
1
Lizotte
Horvat
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Horvat
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Horvat
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (279)
56.4% (493)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (102)
44.6% (83)
+1.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horvat shoots left. Lizotte is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (244).
Lizotte shoots left. Horvat is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (461).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Horvat
Home
45.1% (182)
58.8% (391)
Away
58.8% (199)
54.4% (353)
By Period
Lizotte
Horvat
P1
51.9%
61.2%
P2
50.0%
53.1%
P3
54.3%
55.1%
OT
100.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
47.4%
61.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
52.2%
Horvat
42.0%▼
53.5%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 12:18 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 1 | 07:54 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |