Scouting Report
Dakota Joshua holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Joshua shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Joshua 51.4% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 60.6%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 67.2%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 54.6%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Lizotte
Joshua
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Lizotte
Joshua
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
2
0
Lizotte
Joshua
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Joshua
0
1
Lizotte
Joshua
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Joshua
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
53.3% (75)
-2.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Joshua shoots left. Lizotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lizotte shoots left. Joshua is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Joshua
Home
52.5% (326)
47.7% (44)
Away
50.5% (281)
61.3% (31)
By Period
Lizotte
Joshua
P1
51.4%
61.5%
P2
56.3%
48.1%
P3
46.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
51.6%
Joshua
44.0%▼
48.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2021 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 1 | 04:03 | Neutral | Dakota Joshua |
| Nov 3, 2021 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |