Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.4% vs Cozens 48.5% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 66.7%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 62.7%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 52.7%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Lizotte
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
Lizotte
Cozens
Last 10: Lizotte 5-5 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
4
Lizotte
Cozens
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
3
1
Lizotte
Cozens
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Lizotte
Cozens
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (3,068)
49.0% (4,103)
+2.6%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
50.3% (717)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (437)
41.0% (439)
+1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Lizotte is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,213).
Lizotte shoots left. Cozens is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Cozens
Home
49.5% (1,840)
48.3% (2,685)
Away
51.4% (1,746)
48.7% (2,574)
By Period
Lizotte
Cozens
P1
48.0%
49.1%
P2
52.3%
47.8%
P3
50.5%
48.9%
OT
75.0%
34.3%
Final 5 min
50.2%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.4%
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 14:52 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 15:44 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 09:28 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 16:25 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 09:09 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 06:08 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 17, 2025 | 3 | 12:59 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 3 | 05:14 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 2 | 19:27 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 2 | 19:14 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 09:56 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 15:51 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Oct 31, 2021 | 1 | 07:32 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |