Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — McKegg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs McKegg 46.9% (+6.6%)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 50.4%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 55.9%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 50.7%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Lizotte
McKegg
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
45.9% (146)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
35.7% (14)
+15.2%
On penalty kill, Lizotte has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. Lizotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lizotte shoots left. McKegg is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (103).
Home / Away
Lizotte
McKegg
Home
52.5% (326)
45.3% (64)
Away
50.5% (281)
44.8% (96)
By Period
Lizotte
McKegg
P1
51.4%
48.1%
P2
56.3%
50.0%
P3
46.1%
37.9%
Final 5 min
49.2%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
51.6%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
45.0%