Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lizotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Miller 53.8% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 63.7%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 61.2%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 61.5%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Lizotte
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lizotte
Miller
Last 7: Lizotte 2-5 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
0
3
Lizotte
Miller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lizotte
Miller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
55.5% (933)
-4.2%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
61.6% (73)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
45.8% (227)
+5.1%
On penalty kill, Lizotte has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Lizotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lizotte shoots left. Miller is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (769).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Miller
Home
52.5% (326)
53.5% (578)
Away
50.5% (281)
54.7% (655)
By Period
Lizotte
Miller
P1
51.4%
58.3%
P2
56.3%
53.5%
P3
46.1%
50.1%
Final 5 min
49.2%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
51.6%
Miller
66.0%▬
66.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 19:30 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 05:49 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 04:37 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 04:29 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 2 | 16:11 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 1 | 19:18 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |