Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lizotte on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Hughes 39.5% (+13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 63.6%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 94.2%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 76.4%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
Lizotte
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Lizotte
Hughes
Last 9: Lizotte 6-3 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
1
Lizotte
Hughes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
4
0
Lizotte
Hughes
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Lizotte
Hughes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
36.7% (305)
+16.2%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
14.3% (7)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
33.3% (6)
+9.8%
On even strength, Lizotte has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Lizotte is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Lizotte shoots left. Hughes is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Hughes
Home
44.2% (242)
35.8% (159)
Away
56.0% (234)
36.5% (159)
By Period
Lizotte
Hughes
P1
49.6%
42.3%
P2
46.9%
28.2%
P3
52.6%
37.2%
Final 5 min
48.0%
27.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 06:30 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 18:51 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 11:09 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:39 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 01:17 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |