Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Tavares 59.8% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 86.5%
Defensive zone
Tavares 53.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 75.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Lizotte
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lizotte
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
60.9% (1,043)
-9.6%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
60.4% (278)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
47.6% (21)
+3.3%
On even strength, Tavares has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Lizotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lizotte shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Tavares
Home
52.5% (326)
63.5% (684)
Away
50.5% (281)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Lizotte
Tavares
P1
51.4%
60.3%
P2
56.3%
60.4%
P3
46.1%
60.1%
Final 5 min
49.2%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
51.6%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 16:07 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 8, 2021 | 1 | 01:48 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |