Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Staal 54.6% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 74.1%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 76.0%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 57.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 74.1%
25.9%
74.1%
Lizotte
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lizotte
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Lizotte
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
56.2% (989)
-3.3%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
66.0% (159)
-41.0%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
42.7% (253)
+0.4%
On power play, Staal has a +41.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Lizotte is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Lizotte shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Staal
Home
44.2% (242)
55.4% (699)
Away
56.0% (234)
54.4% (702)
By Period
Lizotte
Staal
P1
49.6%
55.7%
P2
46.9%
54.7%
P3
52.6%
53.4%
OT
100.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 03:10 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |