Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Lizotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.3% vs Hayes 43.8% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 68.1%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 77.5%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 66.6%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Lizotte
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Lizotte
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (534)
42.7% (478)
+8.6%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
42.9% (98)
+18.2%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (55)
45.2% (31)
+5.7%
On power play, Lizotte has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Lizotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Lizotte shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Hayes
Home
52.5% (326)
43.5% (232)
Away
50.5% (281)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Lizotte
Hayes
P1
51.4%
40.1%
P2
56.3%
44.8%
P3
46.1%
42.4%
Final 5 min
49.2%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
51.6%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 02:12 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 13:17 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 13:12 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |