Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Stenlund 54.2% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 55.9%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 54.9%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 61.3%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Lizotte
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lizotte
Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
1
Lizotte
Stenlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lizotte
1
0
Lizotte
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
56.2% (650)
-3.3%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
53.2% (47)
-28.2%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
51.6% (312)
-8.5%
On power play, Stenlund has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Lizotte is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Lizotte shoots left. Stenlund is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Stenlund
Home
44.2% (242)
56.9% (483)
Away
56.0% (234)
52.5% (526)
By Period
Lizotte
Stenlund
P1
49.6%
54.2%
P2
46.9%
53.2%
P3
52.6%
56.9%
OT
100.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
48.0%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 18:49 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |