Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs Duchene 51.8% (-2.2%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 87.4%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 84.1%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 61.5%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Lizotte
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
51.1% (366)
+1.8%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
61.5% (65)
-36.5%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
16.7% (6)
+26.4%
On power play, Duchene has a +36.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Lizotte is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Lizotte shoots left. Duchene is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Duchene
Home
44.2% (242)
51.7% (201)
Away
56.0% (234)
52.5% (236)
By Period
Lizotte
Duchene
P1
49.6%
49.0%
P2
46.9%
57.1%
P3
52.6%
49.2%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%