Scouting Report
Blake Lizotte holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.7% vs Geekie 48.4% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Geekie leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Geekie 80.1%
Defensive zone
Geekie 65.2%
Neutral zone
Geekie 68.4%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 73.9%
26.1%
73.9%
Lizotte
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Lizotte
Geekie
Last 10: Lizotte 3-7 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
5
Lizotte
Geekie
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
2
Lizotte
Geekie
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lizotte
Geekie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (3,005)
48.7% (2,289)
+3.0%
Power Play
49.4% (77)
45.9% (183)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
43.0% (409)
45.7% (129)
-2.7%
On power play, Lizotte has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Lizotte is 50.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,159).
Lizotte shoots left. Geekie is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,909).
Home / Away
Lizotte
Geekie
Home
49.8% (1,780)
50.0% (1,277)
Away
51.6% (1,711)
46.8% (1,324)
By Period
Lizotte
Geekie
P1
48.2%
48.4%
P2
52.8%
48.9%
P3
50.7%
47.5%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.2%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
60.0%▲
55.0%
50.7%
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 05:09 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 10:31 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 05:35 | Offensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 01:27 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:37 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 3 | 04:28 | Defensive | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 07:18 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 07:14 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 02:55 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 2 | 16:12 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |