Blake Lizotte vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 50.0% vs MacKinnon 51.0% (-1.1%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 89.4%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 84.8%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 53.9%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Lizotte
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (342)
49.7% (1,038)
+3.2%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
63.7% (157)
-38.7%
Penalty Kill
43.1% (130)
34.4% (32)
+8.7%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +38.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Lizotte is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Lizotte shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (886).
Home / Away
Lizotte
MacKinnon
Home
44.2% (242)
53.1% (618)
Away
56.0% (234)
49.1% (609)
By Period
Lizotte
MacKinnon
P1
49.6%
49.3%
P2
46.9%
53.0%
P3
52.6%
50.7%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
50.0%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.1%